Raynauld on Polling in the U.S.: Le Devoir

Communication Studies associate professor Vincent Raynauld explains polling and deciphering its data, as polling is in full swing regarding the upcoming 2024 national election in the United States.

On trends or differing results:

When we see a trend that repeats itself from one survey to another, that’s a good sign. But when we see a survey whose results stand out, we can ask ourselves certain questions, for example about when the survey was conducted and the methodology used.

On national polls versus state polls:

National polls give an idea of ​​what’s happening in general, but when you look at polls by state, you get a better idea of ​​how the voters are going to be distributed.

The piece, published in French newspaper Le Devoir, can be translated from French to English through enabling Google translate.