A new set of Emerson battleground polls find the female vote continues to break for Democratic candidates in Ohio, Oregon and Kansas, creating a competitive US Senate race in Ohio, tight Governor races in Ohio, Oregon and Kansas- and a potential Democratic House pick up in Kansas.
In Ohio, US Senator Sherrod Brown (D) is at 49% with Jim Renacci (R) at 43%. Females are breaking for Brown 54% to 37% while males are breaking for Renacci 49% to 43%. In the Governor race, Richard Cordray (D) is at 49% and Mike DeWine (R) is at 46%, but females are breaking for Cordray 52% to 41% while males are breaking for DeWine 51% to 46%.
In Oregon, Kate Brown (D) has 47% and Knute Buehler (R) is at 42%. Among women, Brown leads 51% to 35% while males break for Buehler 48% to 42%.
Kansas shows less of a gender divide but it still exists. Kris Kobach (R) is at 44% and Laura Kelly (D) is at 43%. Female voters are slightly breaking for Kelly 45% to 41%, while males are breaking for Kobach 48% to 41%.
Full Results and Methodology available below.
Oregon Governor Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=747, +/- 3.7%
Kate Brown (D-inc) 47%, Knute Buehler (R) 42%, 4% undecided
Name Recognition
Brown 44% favorable/ 46% unfavorable
Buehler 35% favorable/ 43% unfavorable
Trump 37% favorable/ 56% unfavorable
Ohio US Senate Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=566, +/- 4.3%
Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 49%, Jim Renacci (R) 43%
Ohio Governor Ballot Test
Richard Cordray (D) 49%, Mike DeWine (R) 46%, 3% undecided
Name Recognition
Cordray 47% favorable/ 36% unfavorable
DeWine 41% favorable/ 44% unfavorable
Trump 47% favorable/ 49% unfavorable
Kansas Governor Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=976, +/- 3.3%
Kris Kobach (R) 44%, Laura Kelly (D) 43%, Greg Orman (I) 8%, 4% undecided
KS District 1 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=221, +/- 6.6%
Roger Marshall (R-inc) 51%, Alan LaPolice (D) 36%, 13% undecided
KS District 2 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=231, +/- 6.5%
Steve Watkins (R) 48%, Paul Davis (D) 41%, 8% undecided
KS District 3 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=262, +/- 6.3%
Sharice Davids (D) 55%, Kevin Yoder (R-inc) 43%, 1% undecided
KS District 4 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=262, +/- 6.3%
Ron Estes (R-inc) 63%, James Thompson (D) 33%, 4% undecided
Name Recognition
Trump 53% favorable/ 42% unfavorable
Kobach 43% favorable/46% unfavorable
Kelly 44% favorable/ 37% unfavorable
