Announcement
Boston, MA —
A new set of Emerson battleground polls find the female vote continues to break for Democratic candidates in Ohio, Oregon and Kansas, creating a competitive US Senate race in Ohio, tight Governor races in Ohio, Oregon and Kansas- and a potential Democratic House pick up in Kansas.
In Ohio, US Senator Sherrod Brown (D) is at 49% with Jim Renacci (R) at 43%. Females are breaking for Brown 54% to 37% while males are breaking for Renacci 49% to 43%. In the Governor race, Richard Cordray (D) is at 49% and Mike DeWine (R) is at 46%, but females are breaking for Cordray 52% to 41% while males are breaking for DeWine 51% to 46%.
In Oregon, Kate Brown (D) has 47% and Knute Buehler (R) is at 42%. Among women, Brown leads 51% to 35% while males break for Buehler 48% to 42%.
Kansas shows less of a gender divide but it still exists. Kris Kobach (R) is at 44% and Laura Kelly (D) is at 43%. Female voters are slightly breaking for Kelly 45% to 41%, while males are breaking for Kobach 48% to 41%.
Full Results and Methodology available below.
Oregon Governor Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=747, +/- 3.7%
Kate Brown (D-inc) 47%, Knute Buehler (R) 42%, 4% undecided
Name Recognition
Brown 44% favorable/ 46% unfavorable
Buehler 35% favorable/ 43% unfavorable
Trump 37% favorable/ 56% unfavorable
Ohio US Senate Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=566, +/- 4.3%
Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 49%, Jim Renacci (R) 43%
Ohio Governor Ballot Test
Richard Cordray (D) 49%, Mike DeWine (R) 46%, 3% undecided
Name Recognition
Cordray 47% favorable/ 36% unfavorable
DeWine 41% favorable/ 44% unfavorable
Trump 47% favorable/ 49% unfavorable
Kansas Governor Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=976, +/- 3.3%
Kris Kobach (R) 44%, Laura Kelly (D) 43%, Greg Orman (I) 8%, 4% undecided
KS District 1 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=221, +/- 6.6%
Roger Marshall (R-inc) 51%, Alan LaPolice (D) 36%, 13% undecided
KS District 2 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=231, +/- 6.5%
Steve Watkins (R) 48%, Paul Davis (D) 41%, 8% undecided
KS District 3 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=262, +/- 6.3%
Sharice Davids (D) 55%, Kevin Yoder (R-inc) 43%, 1% undecided
KS District 4 Ballot Test
IVR/Online, LV, 10/26-28, n=262, +/- 6.3%
Ron Estes (R-inc) 63%, James Thompson (D) 33%, 4% undecided
Name Recognition
Trump 53% favorable/ 42% unfavorable
Kobach 43% favorable/46% unfavorable
Kelly 44% favorable/ 37% unfavorable
About the College
Based in Boston, Massachusetts, opposite the historic Boston Common and in the heart of the city’s Theatre District, Emerson College educates individuals who will solve problems and change the world through engaged leadership in communication and the arts, a mission informed by liberal learning. The College has 3,780 undergraduates and 670 graduate students from across the United States and 50 countries. Supported by state-of-the-art facilities and a renowned faculty, students participate in more than 90 student organizations and performance groups. Emerson is known for its experiential learning programs in Los Angeles, Washington, DC, the Netherlands, London, China, and the Czech Republic as well as its new Global Portals, with the first opening last fall in Paris. The College has an active network of 51,000 alumni who hold leadership positions in communication and the arts. For more information, visit Emerson.edu.
