Announcement

A new Emerson College e-Poll finds a statistical tie in the Kansas Governor race: Republican Kris Kobach 37%, Democrat Laura Kelly 36%, Greg Orman 9%, and 15% undecided. The e-Poll was conducted September 26-28, n=938, registered voters, +/- 3.5%.

Kelly is having success in getting crossover support as compared with Kobach. Republicans break for Kobach at 58% to 18% for Kelly, while Democrats break for Kelly 70% to 8% for Kobach. Independents break for Kelly 35% to 26%. There is no significant gender difference on who people support: 38% of men support Kobach and 35% support Kelly. Women support Kelly at 37% and 36% supporting Kobach.

President Trump is popular in Kansas with a 55% approval and 45% disapproval; however his endorsed candidate Kobach is unpopular with a 47% unfavorable rating and a 38% favorable. Kobach’s Democratic opponent Kelly has a 42% favorable and 30% unfavorable rating.

The e-Poll also studied each Congressional Election in the state.

  • In the 1st district, Incumbent Roger Marshall (R) 44%, Alan LaPolice (D) 17%, 35% undecided.(n=193, +/-6.8%)
  • In the 2nd district Paul Davis (D) 35%, Steve Watkins(R) 31%, 28% undecided (n=243, +/-6.4%)
  • In the 3rd district, Sharice Davids (D) at 47%, Incumbent Kevin Yoder (R) 41%, 10% undecided. (n=246, +/-6.4%)
  • In the 4th district, Incumbent Ron Estes (R) 50%, James Thompson (D) 26%, 20% undecided. (n=256, +/-6.4%)

Key Issues: ICE and Education

Nearly a majority of those polled in Kansas, 48%, oppose abolishing ICE, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency as compared to 22% who favor ICE’s abolishment. 30% are undecided.

On funding for local education, a majority, 56%, say current funding is not enough, while 18% say it is just right; 16% say there is too much funding.

Methodology

The Kansas Emerson College e-Poll was conducted on September 26-28, 2018 under the supervision of Professor Spencer Kimball. The sample consisted of registered voters, n=938 with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The data was weighted by gender, party affiliation, and 2016 voter turnout. It is important to remember that subsets based on congressional district, gender, age, party breakdown, ethnicity, and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=670) and an online panel proved by Survey Sampling International Inc. (n=268).

Emerson College Polling Weekly is the official podcast for the Emerson College poll. The podcast is available on iTunes, Stitcher, and the CLNS Media Mobile app.

Visit our website at https://www.emersonpolling.com

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About the College

Based in Boston, Massachusetts, opposite the historic Boston Common and in the heart of the city’s Theatre District, Emerson College educates individuals who will solve problems and change the world through engaged leadership in communication and the arts, a mission informed by liberal learning. The College has 3,780 undergraduates and 670 graduate students from across the United States and 50 countries. Supported by state-of-the-art facilities and a renowned faculty, students participate in more than 90 student organizations and performance groups. Emerson is known for its experiential learning programs in Los Angeles, Washington, DC, the Netherlands, London, China, and the Czech Republic as well as its new Global Portals, with the first opening last fall in Paris. The College has an active network of 51,000 alumni who hold leadership positions in communication and the arts. For more information, visit Emerson.edu.